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The world is facing an unprecedented situation, unlike anything after WWII. The key characteristics are Uncertainty and the convergence of six mega phenomena:
As a result, some energy subsectors are favored by low-emissions policies: Renewable Energy Sources, Hydrogen of the ‘green’ variety. Nuclear should be favored, due to no carbon emissions, but safety and cost problems exist. Other energy subsectors are challenged: coal, tar sands, oil especially upstream, shale oil. Natural gas is a borderline energy subsector — a transition fuel.
When the Covid-19 factor is superposed, even the subsectors that are theoretically favored are faced with problems of low demand and supply chain, as well as administrative delays and obstacles to Foreign Direct Investments from specific countries.
Indirectly but increasingly strongly, the energy sector is also affected by the changing attitudes of banks and other financial institutions, insurance companies, hedge funds, NGOs etc that are becoming more active in the direction of decarbonization.
In this framework, the decisions of energy producing or consuming companies, are hugely affected. Such decisions Include health and safety, sales, operations, finance/cashflow, risk management/communications, CSR, planning/strategy/energy transition.